When 1 million barrel a day less demand reduces the oil price by $20, this can be used as the base for a rentability caclulation for the exit from oil.
The high leverage of less demand
1 million barrel are just right now about $140 million. But when 1 million barrel decreasing demand decreases the oil price by $20, would mean that for the other 84 million barrel are $1680 million less to pay.
The current possibilities
The only existing vehicles for the mass market are electric scooters. In the 45 km/h limited class - this is a term from the EU European union about a class of scooters limited to 45 km/h. At the gasoline scooters with a 50ccm engine, at the electric scooters with maximal a 4 kW engine.
With a 60 Ah 48 V lithium battery are 150 km range possible. Current end user price for the top model with the large lithium battery about 4000.-EUR. At a mass production of the batteries, this should be soon lowered to 2500.-EUR. In addition a photovoltaic to produce enough electricity for 10,000 km a year.
At 1500 kWh per kW peak ad 4 kWh/100km, this means a 300 Watt modul is enough. Let's take a scond module, then it's also enough for a refrigerator and some electric devices. I addition a 3 kWh stationary battery.
Give us Your scooter to scrap. It should never again waste gasoline. You get for only 28.-EUR a month not only an electric scooter, refueling included, but also enough electric power for a small household. Do You not pay just right now 28.-EUR per month for gasoline? Gasoline will be soon more expensive!
So an interest supported 5000.-EUR credit saves over 20 years 6000 litre gasoline.