2015: VW Dieselgate

Large-scale fraud as industrial policy and the consequences if it is discovered. German politicians have systematically created an environment in which Volkswagen thought it could get away with it.








Estimates of the costs go up to 20 to 25 billion EUR. While Tesla is currently making a 6 billion investment to build a battery factory for 50 GWh annual battery production, Volkswagen is sinking several times that amount into the emissions fraud affair.

The money could have been invested in 200 GWh battery factories. Enough for 3 million electric cars with a 50 kWh battery and 3 million plug-in hybrids with a 16 kWh battery. I am assuming realistic battery capacities here, not rolling waivers for electric cars and plug-in hybrids optimized for the standard consumption fraud formula.

  The competition never sleeps


The first serious Tesla competitor is presented at the IAA 2015: The Thunder Power with 125 kWh battery is to be launched on the market in 2017. A Taiwanese electronics company feels called upon to shake up the luxury car class.

Tesla announced the Model 3 in 2016 and receives 400,000 pre-orders. Renault gives the Zoe a larger battery for a range of 400 km. GM announces the Chevrolet Bolt. The time of rolling disclaimers is over.

Renault turned Dacia into a low-cost brand within the Group. Since October 2014, I have been enjoying the excellent services of Gérard Detourbet: after my Seat Alhambra was destroyed in the underground parking garage during a flood, I now drive a Dacia Lodgy. Minivan at half the price, state-of-the-art lightweight technology, 2 liters more economical than my previous Alhambra.

Now Renault is putting Gérard Detourbet, dubbed "Mr. Low Cost" by the media, in charge of cheap electric cars.

  Delivery of BYD electric buses and electric cars




A large number of vehicles are to be delivered to a Chinese city. Before the delivery on December 30, 2015, a lot of parking space is occupied.

These are 12m electric buses with a 324 kWh battery and e6 electric cars with an 82 kWh battery.

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Long-term planning and stability have to be the guiding rules of politics. A philosophy based on the mathematic branch of games theory.


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Energy politic
Decades of wrong energy politic. Instead of more living standard with less energy usage, partial the contrary was reached. A result of the wrong tax politic.




  Angela Merkel and the car industry


Let's take a look at the performance of the governments under Angela Merkel in a less emotional area than refugee policy: the automotive industry.

1992: The Rügen Experiment
From 1992 to 1996, research minister Heinz Riesenhuber and environment minister Angela Merkel demonstrated the unsuitability of electric cars on the island of Rügen.


2007: The Merkel failure begins
The first appeal to Merkel to prevent the German car industry from resting on its laurels and falling behind was made on January 31, 2007.


2008: Merkel in the oil price crisis
The oil price crisis should have led to important industrial policy decisions in the German car industry. Instead, pathetic whining for lower oil prices


2009: China announces drastic licensing regulations
The Chinese counterpart to Economics Minister Sigmar Gabriel: "Have you seen a single petrol scooter? They don't exist any more, they can no longer be registered, only electric scooters".


2010: Electric car with a range of 300 km
The sensation at the Geneva Motor Show: the first family-friendly electric car with a range of 300 km. With the BYD e6, electromobility is breaking out of narrow niche markets.


2011: The fraud formula for plug-in hybrid consumption measurement
Germany has been unable to reduce the EU's CO2 emission targets for the car industry. But the cheating formula for the whitewashing of plug-in hybrids is working.


2012: Electric Bus Conference Munich
Grotesque differences in consumption between electric buses and hydrogen fuel cell buses. Nevertheless, a lot of research money continues to be sunk into hydrogen vehicles.


2013: Study on the market launch of electric cars
The German car industry has even managed to corrupt the state-affiliated Fraunhofer research institute. An unscientific study on the market for electric cars shows this.


2014: Tesla announces 50 GWh battery factory
The size of the planned factory shows the intention to sell not only in the luxury class. With the production capacity, a broad attack on the upper mid-range is possible.


2016: China shock 8% quota rule for electric cars
Years of deep sleep in the German car industry, a few rolling declarations of abandonment to claim that they were building electric cars. But then the wake-up call from China.


2017: Merkel sees black for the German car industry
At a meeting with her colleagues from the EU according to information from SPIEGEL, the Chancellor touched on a sensitive topic: the foreseeable decline of a German flagship industry.


2017: EU wants fuel consumption measurement in cars from 2020
For the insider, it is a defense against large-scale fraud; for the uninformed citizen, it is the total surveillance state. Background information on the planned consumption measurement.


2018: Diesel driving ban
Germany does not have a government, but a reaction. Instead of active shaping, there is only reaction to disasters of all kinds.




          2015: VW Dieselgate: Large-scale fraud as industrial policy and the consequences if it is discovered. German politicians have systematically created an environment in which Volkswagen thought it could get away with it. https://politics.pege.org/2017-merkel/2015-vw-dieselgate.htm

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