High oil price pays the exit from crude oil

When 1 million barrel a day less demand reduces the oil price by $20, this can be used as the base for a rentability caclulation for the exit from oil.

The high leverage of less demand

1 million barrel are just right now about $140 million. But when 1 million barrel decreasing demand decreases the oil price by $20, would mean that for the other 84 million barrel are $1680 million less to pay.

The current possibilities

The only existing vehicles for the mass market are electric scooters. In the 45 km/h limited class - this is a term from the EU European union about a class of scooters limited to 45 km/h. At the gasoline scooters with a 50ccm engine, at the electric scooters with maximal a 4 kW engine.

With a 60 Ah 48 V lithium battery are 150 km range possible. Current end user price for the top model with the large lithium battery about 4000.-EUR. At a mass production of the batteries, this should be soon lowered to 2500.-EUR. In addition a photovoltaic to produce enough electricity for 10,000 km a year.

At 1500 kWh per kW peak ad 4 kWh/100km, this means a 300 Watt modul is enough. Let's take a scond module, then it's also enough for a refrigerator and some electric devices. I addition a 3 kWh stationary battery.

Here we are again at the "freedom pack" like introduced 2007 at the alternative US-military budget. Makes all together at 3% interest over 20 years only 28.-EUR a month.

An offer impossible to decline

Give us Your scooter to scrap. It should never again waste gasoline. You get for only 28.-EUR a month not only an electric scooter, refueling included, but also enough electric power for a small household. Do You not pay just right now 28.-EUR per month for gasoline? Gasoline will be soon more expensive!

So an interest supported 5000.-EUR credit saves over 20 years 6000 litre gasoline.

Politics - political targets of PEGE
	Nonpolitical, pragmatic, on the other side of ideologies counts in our politic only one target: A long time lasting civilization able to develop further on a stable base.

Philosophy
	Long-term planning and stability have to be the guiding rules of politics. A philosophy based on the mathematic branch of games theory.

Living standard
	What is living standard? How is living standard correctly measured? Is it possible, that our living standard declines drastic, while uncorrect numbers want to make us belive it's like paradise?

Taxes tax politics
	The consequences of the tax politic for humans and environment. The politicians claim to fight for humans and the environment, but the tax politics shows the exact opposit.

Energy politic
	Decades of wrong energy politic. Instead of more living standard with less energy usage, partial the contrary was reached. A result of the wrong tax politic.

Fossil energy means recession
	The decrease of the oil price in the last days proofs: fossil energy means recession. A growth of the world economy is only with renewable energy possible.

Civilization and the ability to store
	The ability to store valuable products to balance times of overabundance and times of under-supply is a basic of civilization.

Banking crisis
	The production facilities are all intact, only the finance system is groggy. This is a big chance for the politic to do with the production something reasonable.

Oil production becomes a roulette game
	The extrem fast declining oil price damages the oil industry much more, than $180 oil price. Investments in costly explorations became extrem risky.

Stock market crisis
	There are political streams believing that the stock market will solve all problems of mankind. But how can a stable full of disturbed chickens cause something positive?

2008 The begin of the end of the oil age
	Many indicators show a clear result: In the history books will be the year 2008 chained to the begin of the end of the oil age.

Ostrich policy
	The oil price jumps in a few month from $70 to $100, the Energy Watch Group dates peak oil to 2006 and our irresponsible politicians put the head in the sand.

CO2 tax determination
	2 complete different ideas for the determination of a CO2 tax, replacement of social security costs and the costs to for the removal of CO2 in the atmosphere have the same range.

Dreadful doing nothing
	The IEA shows in a complete sharp turn of previous prognoses a catastrophe szenario, the oil price is already beyond §122 and the politicians play clerk Mikado.

Oil price and economic growth
	Do we want recession? The dedicing question is not how high the oil price is in a recession, but at 2% economic growth.

G8 want to reduce CO2 emission by 50% until 2050
	In Kobe, the environment ministers of the G8 agreed to lower the carbon dioxide emissions until 2050 to the half. A very unrealistic target.

The quarrel about the imperator's beard
	France and Germany support the target of the EU commission to reduce the emission of Carbon Dioxide until 2012 to 120 g CO2/km at cars.

Subventions against increasing oil price
	Subventions to decrease the demand for crude oil can be highly profitable for the industrial countries by damping the increase of the oil price.

Oil conference: oil price reaches $140
	What would You think, when a junkie promisses his mother to get away from the oildope and 5 minutes later, he whines pitifully at a dealer?

ECB prime rate increase counter productively
	The inflation is caused nearly only by the high oil price. The escape from oil needs investitions in new technology, aggravated by the higher prime rate.

When will be electric power from natural gas twice as expensive as solar
	Solar electric power is cheaper than Diesel, but look on the streets, what is driving there? It can be only called a complete failure of politics and economy.